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It took me 17 weeks, but thanks to , it finally happened. I climbed my way back to respectability. The proce s went something like this: Game of Thrones via Giphy If youve been following along with my five weekly best bets all season, youll know that I started the season 1-9 and that my stated goal after Week 2 was to finish the year at or above .500. For the next 14 weeks, I pieced together several 3-2 weeks, a few 2-3 weeks, no more 1-4 or 5-0 weeks, and very rarely, a 4-1 or 5-0 week. Heading into Harry Gilles III Jersey Week 17, I needed to go 3-2 to finish at exactly .500 or 4-1 to finish above .500. Things looked bleak for a while on Sunday with the Bears-Vikings game going over (I had the under), the hanging around with the (I had K.C. at -8.5), and the and both getting blanked for most of the second half after combining to score 38 points in the first half (I had the over). The only bet of mine that was secure from the get-go was the -13 as they hammered the from start to finish. But the switch flipped. The Chiefs put the Chargers away in the fourth quarter. The Falcons kicked two field goals to send the game to overtime. And then Winston rewarded my continued faith in him. After the Buccaneers won the coin to s and took the ball to start overtime, I sent out the following tweet. All I want is for the Buccaneers to lose on a historic Jameis pick-six Sean Wagner-McGough (@seanjwagner) Truth be told, I wasnt even thinking about my best bets. You see, Winston was one interception away from becoming the first quarterback in NFL history to throw 30 touchdowns and 30 interceptions in a single season, and thats what I wanted to see happen. Fifteen seconds later, . BALL GAME! Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) THIS IS THE GREATEST MOMENT OF MY LIFE Sean Wagner-McGough (@seanjwagner) Ten minutes later, I realized what it meant for my best bets. I took the Falcons-Bucs Over in my weekly best bets column. I started the year 1-9. I said my goal was to finish at or above .500. I havent been above .500 all season. Until that pick-six. You just cant write a script like this. Sean Wagner-McGough (@seanjwagner) I would now like to take this moment to thank Winston and the Buccaneers -- but mostly Winston -- for hitting the over To thank him,, but Im still not really sure how one is supposed to do that. Winstons demo a few years ago didnt really explain how that was exactly po sible. Jameis Winston with an ... interesting pump up speech. FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) So, instead, I drank some wine, which is close enough in my book and way more enjoyable -- plus, its the only way I can tolerate with Will Brinson, Ryan Wilson, and John Breech, which, by the way, we recorded every single Sunday night during the season to recap a days worth of games. Dont worry, even though there are far fewer games this weekend, Im sure well still find a way to stretch every Kent Bazemore Jersey playoff recap episode to the 100-minute mark. Lots of tangents (and wine) will be involved, Im sure. Anyway, its now time to focus on the postseason. Were going to shake things up a bit for the playoffs. Instead of submitting five weekly best bets, Im just going to pick every game against the spread since there are so few games. Onto the picks in a second, but first, allow me one more moment to celebrate my succe sful climb back to respectability. Regular-season best-bets record: 43-41-1 Game of Thrones via Tenor +2.5 at By far, this is my least favorite game to pick. On the one hand, you have Josh Allen trying to keep pace with . On the other hand, you have Bill OBrien. Neither the Bills nor the Texans excite me in this game, because I can see it going either way. Eventually, I decided to take the Bills and the points -- partly because I think its going to be a close game, but also because of the way Watson played down the stretch and how bad the Texans defense has been all season. Lets start with Watson. Ever since he dismantled the in Week 13, he has been struggling. In his final three starts of the season, he completed only 60.6 percent of his pa ses, averaged 6.6 yards per attempt, threw two more interceptions (5) than touchdowns (3), and posted a 70.1 pa ser rating. Nobody should expect him to play that poorly against the Bills, but he does have a tough matchup this weekend against -- including fifth against the pa s. I think the Bills can slow him down. Allen isnt nearly as good of a quarterback as Watson, but he doesnt need to be. A suming the Bills defense plays up to its standards, Allen just need to protect the football and hit on a few big plays. Since his three-interception disaster against the Patriots in Week 4, Allen has thrown three interceptions. Hell be going up against a defense that ranks 26th in DVOA -- including 26th against the pa s. Yes, but given where hes at in his career and how quickly hes been rushed back from a serious injury, I dont think its unfair to suggest that Watt might not have the type of impact we normally a sociate with him. It feels borderline insane to be taking Allen on the road against Watson at home, but I trust the Bills defense to turn this into the kind of low-scoring game the Bills want to be in and I trust the Texans defense to give up a few big plays to Allen. So, Ill take the Bills and the points. +5 at Patriots It feels like the entire world expects the Titans to upset the Patriots, which probably means the Patriots are going to win by 17 and laugh at all of us for thinking could go into Foxborough and beat a Moses Brown Jersey Bill Belichick defense. But Im still taking the Titans anyway, fully aware that I might look like an idiot -- which, to be fair, Im more than used to already. The Titans have the better offense,. The Patriots were 11th. Even Belichick knows his offense stinks, evidenced by the way he approached the end of the first half against the on Sunday. With roughly a minute remaining and with the game Caleb Swanigan Jersey tied, Belichick chose to run out the clock instead of trying to move into scoring range. The Titans also have the better quarterback. , while still the greatest quarterback of all time, is coming off his worst season as a starter since 2013. Meanwhile, Tannehill has played at a top-five level ever since the Titans made him their starter in Week 7, leading the team to a 7-3 record, ranking first in , pa ser rating, and yards per attempt, and doing something that hasnt happened since Joe Montana did it in 1989. Ryan Tannehill completed better than 70% his pa ses for more than 9 yards per attempt this season.The last time that happened in the NFL was Joe Montana in 1989. Travis Wingfield (@WingfieldNFL) While the Patriots do own the leagues top defense, its a defense that was just exploited by and , who repeatedly beat . If Parker can do it, so can A.J. Brown, who just wrapped up a 1,051-yard, eight-touchdown season as a rookie. DeVante Parker got the best of Stephon Gilmore, who lined up acro s from Parker on 40 of 45 routes (89%).Parker caught 7 of 9 targets with Gilmore in coverage for 119 yards, the most receptions & yards given up by Gilmore since joining the Patriots in 2017. | Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) I think the Titans are going to win, but Im obviously not entirely confident in that happening. Luckily, the Titans only need to lose by four points in order to cover. With Tannehill, theyre 6-3-1 against the spread. Ill take the Titans to cover and maybe even win. Get into the playoff action by playing CBS Sports Playoff Pickem. Pick the games for yourfree chance to win $5,000or start a fully customizable pool with friends. Terms apply. Saints -7.5 vs. I just dont really think this is a great matchup for the Vikings -- a team that I happen to think is quite good, but also needed to win the division to have a shot at reaching the Super Bowl. struggles under pre sure -- both from defensive linemen and the magnitude of the moment -- have been documented to death and we saw it as recently as Week 16, when the Vikings allowed five sacks to the and lost by double digits. The Vikings will now be tasked with blocking the likes of . The Saints defense is also , so they should be able to slow down , who is . But this really comes down to the Saints offense, which is absolutely peaking. Since returned from injury, hes completing 74.6 percent of his pa ses and averaging 7.8 yards per attempt, and has thrown 25 touchdowns and only two interceptions. And remains unstoppable. The Saints went 11-5 against the spread this season -- including 3-2 when they were favored by more than seven points. The Vikings were only 9-7 against the spread -- including 2-2 as underdogs. Ill take the Saints to win by more than seven points as they get revenge against the team that ended their season in heartbreaking fashion two years ago. -1.5 at The Eagles are seriously banged up. Their quarterback, , is about to make his playoff debut without , , and , and po sibly sans , Nelson Agholor, and Miles Sanders. Wentz is also coming off his worst season since his rookie year. The only reason the Eagles are in the playoffs is because they sucked slightly le s than the . This really just comes down to , who in most other seasons (that dont feature ) would be the MVP. Wilson is capable of overcoming le s than ideal situations to turn sure-fire lo ses into miraculous wins. Even though the Seahawks won two more games than the Eagles, Im not certain theyre a better team. The Eagles actually Jaylen Adams Jersey own a better point differential than the Seahawks, oddly enough. But what I am certain of is that Wilson is better than Wentz and hell have opportunities to take apart an Eagles defense that is susceptible against the pa s. I wish I had a better reason, but sometimes football really is that simple and a game between two not-great teams comes down to the better of the two quarterbacks. That quarterback is Wilson, so Ill take the Seahawks to both win and cover the spread.

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